16 Sept · 06:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZL
🏆Zion Lee
ELO 1509
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lee
HL
🏆Haelin Lee
ELO 1500
52%
48%
Fair odds · Lee
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.