16 Sept · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
CF
🏆Chiko Fujita
ELO 1525
FormWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Tee
AT
🏆Ai Xin Tee
ELO 1547
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Tee
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 21% · 4.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.