16 Sept · 06:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
NM
🏆Nithya Mani
ELO 1509
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mani
IY
🏆Im Li Ying
ELO 1487
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Mani
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.