16 Sept · 14:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YL
🏆Yunoh Lim
ELO 1561
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lim
YW
🏆Yang Wang
ELO 1554
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Lim
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 32% · 3.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.