17 Sept · 07:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🏆Pattaratorn Passara
ELO 1540
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lim
YL
🏆Yunoh Lim
ELO 1569
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Lim
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.