17 Sept · 06:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
NM
🏆Nithya Mani
ELO 1521
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lee
DL
🏆Daeun Lee
ELO 1554
FormWLLWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Lee
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.