17 Sept · 11:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
CF
🏆Chiko Fujita
ELO 1540
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fujita
XC
🏆Xianchang Chen
ELO 1526
FormWWWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Fujita
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.