17 Sept · 11:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DL
🏆Daeun Lee
ELO 1564
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lee
JS
🏆Jieni Shao
ELO 1542
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Lee
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.