1 Oct · 14:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DM
🏆Darius Movileanu
ELO 1530
FormLWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kwon
HK
🏆Hyuk Kwon
ELO 1566
FormLWLLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Kwon
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.