1 Oct · 12:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TA
🏆Tiago Apolonia
ELO 1596
FormLWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Apolonia
MM
🏆Matteo Mutti
ELO 1536
FormLWWLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Apolonia
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+60
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)