3 Oct · 05:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DC
🏆Diya Parag Chitale
ELO 1553
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chitale
CZ
🏆Chengzhu Zhu
ELO 1534
FormWLWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Chitale
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.