3 Oct · 06:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🏆Mehdi Bouloussa
ELO 1468
FormWLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Gomez
GG
🏆Gustavo Gomez
ELO 1506
FormWLLWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Gomez
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+38
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.