3 Oct · 05:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
CH
🏆Che-Yen Hung
ELO 1508
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zeljko
FZ
🏆Filip Zeljko
ELO 1537
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Zeljko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.