3 Oct · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FH
🏆Feier Han
ELO 1678
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Fan
SF
🏆Shuhan Fan
ELO 1698
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Fan
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.