3 Oct · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🏆Lubomir Pistej
ELO 1581
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pistej
DK
🏆Deni Kozul
ELO 1570
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Pistej
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+11
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.