4 Oct · 14:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
YC
🏆Yuanyu Chen
ELO 1670
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Chen
FC
🏆Flavien Coton
ELO 1633
FormLWLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Chen
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.