4 Oct · 14:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DO
🏆Dimitrij Ovtcharov
ELO 1659
FormLWLWW
93%Win chancemodel fair 1.08Calderano
HC
🏆Hugo Calderano
ELO 1881
FormLWWWW
7%
93%
Fair odds · Calderano
Model 93% · 1.08vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 79%
0-3
48%
1-3
31%
2-3
14%
3-2
4%
3-1
2%
Elo Gap+222
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+222)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)