5 Oct · 12:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
NK
🏆Nayeong Kim
ELO 1563
FormLLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kim
AD
🏆Andreea Dragoman
ELO 1526
FormLLWLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Kim
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.