5 Oct · 13:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ER
🏆Elias Ranefur
ELO 1628
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Ranefur
GK
🏆Guan-Hong Kuo
ELO 1598
FormLLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Ranefur
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+30
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)