4 Oct · 12:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SP
🏆Sofia Polcanova
ELO 1561
FormLWLLW
98%Win chancemodel fair 1.02Wang
YW
🏆Yidi Wang
ELO 1889
FormLLWWW
2%
98%
Fair odds · Wang
Model 98% · 1.02vsMarket 89% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 90%
0-3
63%
1-3
27%
2-3
8%
3-2
1%
3-1
1%
Elo Gap+328
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+328)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)