5 Oct · 12:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TM
🏆Truls Moregard
ELO 1812
FormWWWWW
93%Win chancemodel fair 1.08Moregard
BC
🏆Baldwin Chan
ELO 1582
FormLWWLW
93%
7%
Fair odds · Moregard
Model 93% · 1.08vsMarket 80% · 1.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 80%
3-0
49%
3-1
31%
3-2
13%
2-3
3%
1-3
2%
Elo Gap+230
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+230)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)