6 Oct · 14:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TM
🏆Truls Moregard
ELO 1814
FormWWWWW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Moregard
YX
🏆Yingbin Xu
ELO 1673
FormWWWWL
84%
16%
Fair odds · Moregard
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 65%
3-0
34%
3-1
31%
3-2
19%
2-3
8%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+141
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)