27 Oct · 16:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
JG
🏆Joao Geraldo
ELO 1624
FormLLLWL
92%Win chancemodel fair 1.09Lin
YL
🏆Yun-Ju Lin
ELO 1835
FormLWWWW
8%
92%
Fair odds · Lin
Model 92% · 1.09vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 78%
0-3
46%
1-3
31%
2-3
14%
3-2
4%
3-1
3%
Elo Gap+211
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+211)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)