27 Oct · 18:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🏆Anders Lind
ELO 1703
FormLLWLW
91%Win chancemodel fair 1.10Lebrun
FL
🏆Felix Lebrun
ELO 1899
FormLWWWL
9%
91%
Fair odds · Lebrun
Model 91% · 1.10vsMarket 80% · 1.25· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 75%
0-3
44%
1-3
32%
2-3
15%
3-2
5%
3-1
3%
Elo Gap+196
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)