27 Oct · 20:50 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
TP
🏆Thibault Poret
ELO 1548
FormLLLWL
95%Win chancemodel fair 1.05Moregard
TM
🏆Truls Moregard
ELO 1813
FormLWWWW
5%
95%
Fair odds · Moregard
Model 95% · 1.05vsMarket 78% · 1.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 85%
0-3
55%
1-3
30%
2-3
11%
3-2
2%
3-1
1%
Elo Gap+265
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+265)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)