28 Oct · 14:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🏆Darko Jorgic
ELO 1707
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jorgic
VS
🏆Vladimir Sidorenko
ELO 1693
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Jorgic
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.