5 Nov · 14:45 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
PX
🏆Peng Xiang
ELO 1653
FormLLWLW
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Franziska
PF
🏆Patrick Franziska
ELO 1782
FormLWLLW
19%
81%
Fair odds · Franziska
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%
0-3
32%
1-3
30%
2-3
19%
3-2
9%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+129
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)