3 Nov · 14:20 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AD
🏆Adriana Diaz
ELO 1701
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Joo
CJ
🏆Cheonhui Joo
ELO 1716
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Joo
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.