3 Nov · 19:40 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
SM
🏆Sora Matsushima
ELO 1826
FormLWWWW
91%Win chancemodel fair 1.10Matsushima
JG
🏆Joao Geraldo
ELO 1620
FormLLLLW
91%
9%
Fair odds · Matsushima
Model 91% · 1.10vsMarket 82% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 77%
3-0
45%
3-1
32%
3-2
15%
2-3
4%
1-3
3%
Elo Gap+206
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)