4 Nov · 20:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🏆Prithika Pavade
ELO 1590
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pesotska
MP
🏆Margaryta Pesotska
ELO 1603
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Pesotska
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.