4 Nov · 16:05 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
NB
🏆Natalia Bajor
ELO 1593
FormLWLWL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Bajor
YL
🏆Yangzi Liu
ELO 1508
FormLLLLL
73%
27%
Fair odds · Bajor
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%
3-1
28%
3-0
25%
3-2
21%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+85
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)