7 Nov · 20:45 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🏆Sora Matsushima
ELO 1834
FormWWLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Matsushima
PF
🏆Patrick Franziska
ELO 1790
FormWWLWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Matsushima
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%
3-1
24%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+44
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)