13 Sept · 10:30 MESZ · 🏸 Vietnam OpenMedium · Model Lean
JT
🇸🇬Jia Heng Jason Teh
ELO 1543
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Aidil
SA
🇲🇾Sholeh Aidil
ELO 1572
FormWLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Aidil
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
0-2
43%
2-0
29%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.