11 Nov · 06:00 MEZ · 🏸 Kaohsiung MastersMedium · Model Lean
SA
🇲🇾Sholeh Aidil
ELO 1582
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Aidil
SO
🇯🇵Shogo Ogawa
ELO 1556
FormLLLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Aidil
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
2-0
42%
0-2
30%
2-1
16%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.