Oleksii Naplokov vs Matthias Danzer — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

27 Feb · 08:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🏓Oleksii Naplokov

ELO 1478

3-2Final setsNaplokov won

🏓Matthias Danzer

ELO 1750

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Danzer at 91%. The actual result was Oleksii Naplokov 3-2 — the underdog won.

Oleksii Naplokov — profile →Matthias Danzer — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Danzer favoured

Upset

Total 65.5

86 points played

Over

Set handicap

Danzer −2.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Oleksii Naplokov is favoured to win, below means Matthias Danzer.

▲ Oleksii Naplokovpre 6% → final 100%

Matthias Danzer ▼

Biggest swing 97 ptsNaplokov recovered from 3%72 points · 5 games