Matthias Danzer vs Oleksii Naplokov — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

27 Feb · 10:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🏓Matthias Danzer

ELO 1750

3-1Final setsDanzer won

🏓Oleksii Naplokov

ELO 1478

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Danzer at 90%. The actual result was Matthias Danzer 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Matthias Danzer — profile →Oleksii Naplokov — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Danzer favoured

Favourite won

Total 71.5

66 points played

Under

Set handicap

Danzer −1.5 sets

Covered

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Matthias Danzer is favoured to win, below means Oleksii Naplokov.

▲ Matthias Danzerpre 93% → final 98%

Oleksii Naplokov ▼

Biggest swing 11 pts64 points · 4 games