09 Mar · 16:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1263
3-2Final setsMoreno won
JL
🏓Jaime Lama
ELO 1450
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Lama at 63%. The actual result was Alex Moreno 3-2 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Lama favoured
Total 59.5
94 points played
Set handicap
Lama −2.5 sets
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Alex Moreno is favoured to win, below means Jaime Lama.
▲ Alex Morenopre 33% → final 100%
Jaime Lama ▼
Biggest swing 97 ptsMoreno recovered from 3%72 points · 5 games