09 Mar · 08:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1278
1-3Final setsMoreno won
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1263
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Happek at 56%. The actual result was Alex Moreno 1-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Happek favoured
Total 59.5
74 points played
Set handicap
Happek −2.5 sets
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sven Happek is favoured to win, below means Alex Moreno.
▲ Sven Happekpre 60% → final 0%
Alex Moreno ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsMoreno recovered from 22%72 points · 4 games