09 Mar · 14:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1263
0-3Final setsColvin won
TC
🏓Tom Colvin
ELO 1271
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Moreno at 72%. The actual result was Tom Colvin 0-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Colvin favoured
Total 75.5
54 points played
Set handicap
Colvin −1.5 sets
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Alex Moreno is favoured to win, below means Tom Colvin.
▲ Alex Morenopre 71% → final 0%
Tom Colvin ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsColvin recovered from 29%54 points · 3 games