07 Apr · 07:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1263
0-3Final setsLama won
JL
🏓Jaime Lama
ELO 1450
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Lama at 75%. The actual result was Jaime Lama 0-3 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Lama favoured
Total 68.5
46 points played
Set handicap
Lama −2.5 sets
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Alex Moreno is favoured to win, below means Jaime Lama.
▲ Alex Morenopre 20% → final 0%
Jaime Lama ▼
Biggest swing 20 pts46 points · 3 games