Kirill Fadeev vs Alex Moreno — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

06 Apr · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🏓Kirill Fadeev

ELO 1592

3-1Final setsFadeev won

🏓Alex Moreno

ELO 1263

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fadeev at 94%. The actual result was Kirill Fadeev 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Kirill Fadeev — profile →Alex Moreno — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Fadeev favoured

Favourite won

Total 69.5

74 points played

Over

Set handicap

Fadeev −2.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kirill Fadeev is favoured to win, below means Alex Moreno.

▲ Kirill Fadeevpre 94% → final 100%

Alex Moreno ▼

Biggest swing 22 pts72 points · 4 games