Francesco Maragioglio vs Kirill Fadeev — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

14 Apr · 08:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🏓Francesco Maragioglio

ELO 1376

2-3Final setsFadeev won

🏓Kirill Fadeev

ELO 1592

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Fadeev at 91%. The actual result was Kirill Fadeev 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Francesco Maragioglio — profile →Kirill Fadeev — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Fadeev favoured

Favourite won

Set handicap

Fadeev −2.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Francesco Maragioglio is favoured to win, below means Kirill Fadeev.

▲ Francesco Maragiogliopre 9% → final 0%

Kirill Fadeev ▼

Biggest swing 43 pts72 points · 5 games