21 Apr · 08:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PD
🏓Petr David
ELO 1583
3-1Final setsDavid won
LK
🏓Luis Kraus
ELO 1473
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured David at 75%. The actual result was Petr David 3-1 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
David favoured
Total 63.5
76 points played
Set handicap
David −2.5 sets
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Petr David is favoured to win, below means Luis Kraus.
▲ Petr Davidpre 74% → final 100%
Luis Kraus ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsDavid recovered from 41%72 points · 4 games