Rafael Turrini vs Alex Moreno — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

11 May · 16:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🏓Rafael Turrini

ELO 1909

3-1Final setsTurrini won

🏓Alex Moreno

ELO 1263

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Turrini at 98%. The actual result was Rafael Turrini 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Rafael Turrini — profile →Alex Moreno — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Turrini favoured

Favourite won

Set handicap

Turrini −2.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafael Turrini is favoured to win, below means Alex Moreno.

▲ Rafael Turrinipre 99% → final 100%

Alex Moreno ▼

Biggest swing 4 pts67 points · 4 games