21 May · 12:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AM
🏓Alex Moreno
ELO 1263
3-0Final setsMoreno won
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1278
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Happek at 69%. The actual result was Alex Moreno 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Moreno favoured
Total 64.5
38 points played
Set handicap
Moreno −2.5 sets
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Alex Moreno is favoured to win, below means Sven Happek.
▲ Alex Morenopre 33% → final 100%
Sven Happek ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsMoreno recovered from 33%39 points · 3 games