Thomas Pellny vs Makoto Nogami — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

22 Jun · 10:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🏓Thomas Pellny

ELO 1515

3-2Final setsPellny won

🏓Makoto Nogami

ELO 1401

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pellny at 77%. The actual result was Thomas Pellny 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Thomas Pellny — profile →Makoto Nogami — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Pellny favoured

Favourite won

Total 75.5

97 points played

Over

Set handicap

Pellny −1.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Thomas Pellny is favoured to win, below means Makoto Nogami.

▲ Thomas Pellnypre 81% → final 100%

Makoto Nogami ▼

Biggest swing 33 pts72 points · 5 games