Makoto Nogami vs Luis Carrillo — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

25 Jun · 16:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🏓Makoto Nogami

ELO 1401

3-0Final setsNogami won

🏓Luis Carrillo

ELO 1438

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Carrillo at 70%. The actual result was Makoto Nogami 3-0 — the underdog won.

Makoto Nogami — profile →Luis Carrillo — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Carrillo favoured

Upset

Total 75.5

60 points played

Under

Set handicap

Carrillo −1.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Makoto Nogami is favoured to win, below means Luis Carrillo.

▲ Makoto Nogamipre 32% → final 100%

Luis Carrillo ▼

Biggest swing 68 ptsNogami recovered from 32%60 points · 3 games