Luis Carrillo vs Akito Itagaki — Challenger Series

← Challenger Series predictions

25 Jun · 10:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🏓Luis Carrillo

ELO 1438

3-1Final setsCarrillo won

🏓Akito Itagaki

ELO 1541

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Itagaki at 54%. The actual result was Luis Carrillo 3-1 — the underdog won.

Luis Carrillo — profile →Akito Itagaki — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Itagaki favoured

Upset

Total 74.5

66 points played

Under

Set handicap

Itagaki −1.5 sets

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Luis Carrillo is favoured to win, below means Akito Itagaki.

▲ Luis Carrillopre 42% → final 100%

Akito Itagaki ▼

Biggest swing 80 ptsCarrillo recovered from 20%66 points · 4 games