29 Jun · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DR
🏓Daniel Rinderer
ELO 1716
FormLWWWL
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Rinderer
AI
🏓Akito Itagaki
ELO 1498
FormLLLWW
83%
17%
🌟Itagaki goes over total as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Rinderer
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 64%Total ~72 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
31%
3-2
19%
2-3
8%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+218
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+218)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)