29 Jun · 12:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LD
🏓Linus Dreykorn
ELO 1394
FormLLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Itagaki
AI
🏓Akito Itagaki
ELO 1498
FormLLLWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Itagaki
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
21%
2-3
21%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+104
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)